Round One continues tonight
Columbus Crew host Atlanta United tonight in the final Game 1 of Round One. Kickoff is set for 7:30 pm ET and can be watched free on Apple TV or on FS1 and FS2.
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Thiago Almada couldnāt have timed a second yellow any worse. His off-ball foul well away from the play on Decision Day earned him a red card and a suspension for one game. Tonightās game. Itās hard to explain how big a deal that is. But weāll try.
American Soccer Analysis tracks a metric called ātouch percentageā which measures the percentage of a teamās touches a player receives. In the final two-thirds of the pitch, Almada takes 16.4% of Atlanta Unitedās touches. Only two players in MLS take more for their team. Houstonās Hector Herrera (17.1%) and LAās Riqui Puig (17.0%). Fellow Best XI-caliber 10s Emanuel Reynoso and Carles Gil trail just behind Almada. Thatās a hefty usage rate that points to a truth you already probably knew: Atlanta goes as Almada goes. So, where do they go tonight?
Back in March, Columbus welcomed Atlanta United to Lower.com Field and sent them away a couple of hours later with their worst loss in club history. A thorough 6-1 beatdown. Atlanta put up two shots. Almada missed that one, but, to be fair, so did a handful of players on both sides. Still, it showcased some of Atlantaās deficiencies without their star playmaker, and the Crewās notable advantage in central midfield. Even with the excellent Tristan Muyumba in the fray tonight, itās advantage for Columbus thanks to Darlington Nagbe and Aidan Morris.
Now, Atlanta have to find a way to counter that advantage without the player they turn to when they need to solve problems in possession. Muyumba can help on some level there, but the rest of Atlantaās central midfield supporting cast doesnāt have the on-ball ability to make up for it. Maybe that means the Five Stripes will turn to someone like winger Saba Lobjanidze to take on an altered No. 10 role to at least provide some kind of forward thrust in transition. But thereās not a clear and immediate answer here.
Maybe that ends up being a good thing for Atlanta United? Perhaps in the other timeline where Almada is healthy, they come out with an overly attack-minded game plan that results in the Crewās league-best attack gleefully ripping apart Atlantaās not-league-best defense. In this timeline, thereās a chance missing Almada results in a more conservative approach that ends up being the right fit to steal an upset win in Game 1. After all, Atlanta enter this one tied for the league lead on set-piece goals. Of course, a large part of that is Almadaās ability to whip the ball into the box, but Giorgos Giakoumakis still exists. It doesnāt take a world-class ball to get it to the guy out-jumping everyone else.
The bottom line is thereās a ton of uncertainty around what version of Atlanta United weāll get. Thereās zero confusion about what kind of Crew team weāll get. Theyāre going to try and outpossess Atlanta and rip them apart the way they mostly did in a 1-1 draw in Atlanta a few weeks ago. It wasnāt quite 6-1, but the Crew still put up 22 shots on the night.
Cucho, Diego Rossi and Julian Gressel are all going to have their moments and opportunities again tonight. If they capitalize on them, then the Crew have a chance to make a Game 1 statement. For us here at The Daily Kickoff, theyāre the second-best team in the East, and thereās an argument that makes them the second-best team in this tournament. They can go ahead and put the rest of the bracket on high-alert tonight if they take full advantage of a limited Atlanta side and pile on chances. If they can shut down whatever version of Atlantaās attack comes out, even better.
The opportunity is there for Columbus. Theyāll either take it or Atlanta will pull out a stunning result that might shape the rest of this tournament.
Austin FC sign Finlay to contract extension: Austin FC have signed midfielder Ethan Finlay to a contract extension through the 2024 MLS season with an option for 2025. Finlay initially joined Austin as a free agent before the 2022 campaign. The veteran winger has since tallied 11 goals and 10 assists across all competitions in Verde & Black, appearing in 78 games.
Eligible player pool expanded for MLS SuperDraft presented by adidas: Major League Soccer today announced an expansion of the eligible player pool for the MLS SuperDraft presented by adidas, starting when the 2024 version is held December 19 (3 pm ET). For the first time in MLS history, non-Generation adidas sophomores and juniors will be eligible.
- Jon Arnold looked at how Cucho HernƔndez became the "best modern forward" in MLS.
- The Seattle Sounders rose to the occasion versus FC Dallas because thatās what they do in the playoffs.
- Orlando City showed some playoff mettle versus Nashville.
- Lionel Messi got a hero's welcome home by Inter Miami after his Ballon d'Or win.
Good luck out there. Dress for the job you want to have.