Wild Card round tomorrow
In the Eastern Conference, the eighth-seeded New York Red Bulls host ninth-seeded Charlotte FC at 7:30 pm ET on MLS Season Pass on Apple TV. Out West, eighth-seeded Sporting Kansas City host the ninth-seeded San Jose Earthquakes at 9:30 pm ET on MLS Season Pass on Apple TV. Loser goes home. Winner moves on.
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Itās Playoff Eve. To celebrate, weāre going to do something dumb. Weāre going to make our playoff picks public. I know, I know, Iām just providing ammo for social media managers across the league. But thatās the risk you take when you choose to blog. The Circle of Content has never been about kindness. Besides, Iām running hot. Some kind (?) soul calculated how many total spots each MLSsoccer.com preseason prediction maker missed by with their projections. I only missed byā¦ā¦.[checking].....105 spots. Hang the banner.
To be fair to me, that ended up as the fourth-best total in the league. I earned a home playoff spot. Iām feeling bold. And you can feel bold too by joining The Daily Kickoffās Audi 2023 MLS Cup Playoffs Bracket Challenge group. Just click the link here and compete against me and fellow kickoff readers for prizes to be named later if I remember!
BEFORE YOU CLICK THAT LINK THOUGH! WAIT! THEREāS A TWIST!
Whatās beautiful here is thereās no real pressure. Experienced Kickoff readers will know the only thing we know in MLS is we know nothing. In keeping with the fact we know nothing, itās time to lean into the bitā¦
THE WINNER OF THE DAILY KICKOFF BRACKET CHALLENGE WILL BE THE BRACKET WITH THE FEWEST TOTAL POINTS.
Thatās right. Youāve got to pick in reverse. How confident are you a dark horse wonāt go on a run? Do you really think thereās no chance that Round One upset is going to happen? If youāve ever watched any MLS game ever, the answer should be āOh gosh, oh no, wait, Iām having a panic attack now.ā
Good luck to everyone involved. Orā¦uhā¦bad luck? Anyway, here are my reverse picks.
(1) St. Louis vs. (8/9) Wild Card Winner
Reverse Pick: (8/9) Wild Card Winner
We donāt know who St. Louis will play yet. And maybe it would be beneficial to wait until we had a better idea of their opponent. But we arenāt going to overthink this. St. Louis should take care of business in theory. Although I did write multiple times over the last couple of days about Sporting KC totally have it in them to pull off the upset hereā¦ ok, yep, I already have a ton of anxiety about this, isnāt this fun?!
(4) Houston Dynamo FC vs. (5) Real Salt Lake
Reverse Pick: (5) Houston Dynamo FC
No confirmation on Chicho Arangoās status or how much heāll be able to play if heās available yet. RSL can do it without him. But Iām not overthinking this (any more than I already am).
(3) LAFC vs. (6) Vancouver Whitecaps FC
Reverse Pick: (3) LAFC
Stay with me here. Yes, I know this is probably the single dumbest possible reverse pick. Thereās a good argument LAFC are the most likely team to make an MLS Cup run out of the West. But, what you donāt know is I originally picked everything chalk in Round One and that stressed me out so I had to go back and pick an upset. Somehow, this is the one I settled on.
Itās not about LAFC, itās about Vancouver having enough pieces to get hot in attack and make this series totally miserable for LAFC. If Brian White and Ryan Gauld are on a heater and DĆ©nis Bouanga goes cold, then the āCaps could have the upper hand. Is that likely? No. Is that possible? Yes. And Iāve got to gain an upper hand in this group somehow.
(2) Seattle Sounders vs. (7) FC Dallas
Reverse Pick: (7) FC Dallas
Iāve got to admit something. In my normal bracket I have Seattle in MLS Cup. I maybe even have them winning it. There are Last Dance vibes happening here. At least in my head. And in my world where the Sounders face a wholly underwhelming Dallas side then go up against Vancouver, itās very easy to imagine Seattle in the Conference Final. At that point, Iām assuming muscle memory will kick in.
(1) FC Cincinnati vs. (8/9) Wild Card Winner
Reverse Pick: (8/9) Wild Card Winner
Thereās a clear favorite in the East. That didnāt stop me from being genuinely worried about the Red Bulls being good enough defensively and chaotic enough in general to pull off a wild upset here though.
(4) Philadelphia Union vs. (5) New England Revolution
Reverse Pick: (5) New England Revolution
I have almost no confidence in the Revs right now. Which means theyāll almost definitely get hot and have Carles Gil and TomĆ”s Chancalay go insane for a month as they make me look like an idiot for thinking they donāt have the juice to get past Round One.
(3) Columbus Crew vs. (6) Atlanta United
Reverse Pick: (6) Atlanta United
These might be the two best-attacking teams in the league. Thereās a ton of firepower here. And, to be honest, Atlanta probably have the advantage there. What they donāt have is a consistent defense. I mean, Columbus donāt either, but Atlantaās have been even worse. I just donāt think the Five Stripes can avoid mistakes the way championship-caliber teams tend to do in this competition. Still, that attack makes picking against an Atlanta run terrifying.
(2) Orlando City vs. (7) Nashville SC
Reverse Pick: (7) Nashville SC
Speaking of terrifyingā¦
Nashville are so good defensively that picking against them to make a run in a knockout tournament is a dangerous idea. They made it to the Leagues Cup final this year for a reason. But since then, theyāve been one of the worst attacking teams in the league. Like, genuinely bad and not in the normal Nashville kind of way. Hany Mukhtar went cold and Sam Surridge hasnāt had the kind of impact theyād hoped for yet. Until they prove otherwise, itās tough to pick them to get it together in attack.
(5) Real Salt Lake vs. (8/9) Wild Card Winner
Reverse Pick: (8/9) Wild Card Winner
Even if Sporting KC pull off the upset against St. Louis, Iād guess their run comes to an end here against Houston or an RSL team with a mostly healthy Chicho Arango. Then again, theyād have a ton of momentum after Round One. Maybe I should think about this moreā¦
(3) LAFC vs. (7) FC Dallas
Reverse Pick: (7) FC Dallas
My doubt in LAFC can only go so far. My doubt in FC Dallas can go much further. Theyāre a super likable team, but Iām just not convinced they have the juice this year. Sorry, yāall.Ā
(5) New England Revolution vs. (8/9) Wild Card Winner
Reverse Pick: (5) New England Revolution
Iām telling yāall, Iām actually scared of the Red Bulls if they advance. They were among the best teams in the league all year when it comes to the underlying numbers, largely because of an outstanding defense. That can be all it takes to advance in a knockout tournament. And even if they donāt, Iām guessing Cincy take care of business against New England, anyway.
(6) Atlanta United vs. (7) Nashville SC
Reverse Pick: (6) Atlanta United
This is by far the hardest part of the bracket to work through. But picking against Nashville in a knockout tournament for too long feels like bad practice. Of course, so does picking against an Atlanta team with an absurd amount of firepower. I hate all of this. But Iām leaning toward the high-floor team instead of the high-ceiling teams. Knockout rounds arenāt about whoās better, theyāre about who can limit mistakes.
(7) FC DALLAS VS. (8/9) WILD CARD WINNER
Reverse Pick: (7) FC Dallas
If SKC make it this far, I refuse to count them out. If FC Dallas make it this far, Iām going to assume some penalty shootouts were won. Itās all plausible. But I know which way the vibes are blowing.
(5) New England Revolution vs. (6) Atlanta United
Reverse Pick: (5) New England Revolution
Same thing here. If Atlanta make it this far, Iām assuming theyāre so incredibly on fire in attack that theyāre going to be impossible to stop. I just canāt see the path with this version of New England. Even if I am terrified Carles Gil is hanging this up in his locker right now and preparing to put in the greatest postseason of all time just to spite the haters.
(5) New England Revolution vs. (7) FC Dallas
Reverse Pick: (7) FC Dallas
This would be one road game too many for Dallas. Congrats (?) to New England.
ā¦ All of this is going to come back to bite me, isnāt it?
Lodeiro likely in final season with Seattle: Nicolas Lodeiroās legendary Seattle Sounders FC career appears to be winding down. The Uruguayan No. 10, whoās out of contract after the 2023 MLS season, told Sounder At Heart reporter Niko Moreno heās not received a new offer and āas Iām concerned now, Iām just not going to get one.ā Lodeiro, after Seattleās 2-0 win at St. Louis CITY SC on Decision Day, posted on his Instagram story that it was his final regular-season game with the club.
Sporting Kansas City's Russell named Player of the Matchday: Sporting Kansas City forward Johnny Russell came up clutch during Decision Day, Heās been rewarded with MLS Player of the Matchday presented by Continental Tire honors for Matchday 38.
Atlanta United's Almada fined after Decision Day red card: The MLS Disciplinary Committee has fined Atlanta United midfielder Thiago Almada an undisclosed amount for failing to leave the field in a timely manner in the 51st minute against FC Cincinnati on October 21. Almada will miss the first game of Atlantaās Round One matchup against Columbus.
- Matt Doyleās world-famous playoff tiers column is out.
- Charles Boehm looked at how a culture is taking root at San Diego FC.
- Voting for AT&T 5G Goal of the Matchday for MLS Matchday 38 is now open.
- Hereās your Decision Day Team of the Matchday.
- Take a look at every MLS team's top goalscorer in the 2023 season.
- Charles Boehm looked at which Young Players were Decision Day heroes.
Good luck out there. Start strong.